Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 97246.841424 102499.714043 107747.825405 113381.124677 119253.152502 125190.017289 131642.545927
2025-09-21 88234.643320 96247.360618 104473.041869 113537.909844 123236.433631 133290.996013 144491.794697
2025-09-28 81786.471909 91676.834054 102049.863839 113718.565875 126456.988443 139918.835987 155198.366521
2025-10-05 77945.815521 89366.300578 101557.621011 115504.305222 130980.438924 147589.978750 166725.933858
2025-10-12 74666.029237 87317.703477 101033.386609 116954.505648 134872.144245 154357.822742 177094.473085
2025-10-19 71482.691585 85114.957726 100102.029488 117729.238044 137818.747443 159925.054213 186011.573586
2025-10-26 68333.615976 82742.685389 98790.996824 117896.939069 139925.415755 164427.362149 193638.246891
2025-11-02 65719.474054 80829.081725 97861.599855 118367.533292 142262.710506 169103.143093 201400.995125
2025-11-09 63091.447290 78762.181610 96631.073581 118373.359705 143964.413460 172975.922098 208191.319916
2025-11-16 61376.356467 77681.086205 96470.011205 119554.742966 146975.065749 178321.366018 216671.209101
2025-11-23 59105.618636 75833.509035 95312.222815 119474.340370 148432.535305 181808.470146 222955.243557
2025-11-30 57884.941780 75195.326319 95544.375429 121005.473437 151767.854655 187484.411129 231819.684329
2025-12-07 56418.205220 74218.654775 95345.491179 122011.278381 154491.355244 192480.159432 239959.526372
2025-12-14 54599.601606 72742.270783 94483.658301 122165.440856 156156.385948 196203.187384 246594.568114
2025-12-21 52912.873828 71368.151681 93691.508418 122354.491167 157824.610823 199907.122585 253203.615463
2025-12-28 52168.333679 71148.101029 94299.151304 124249.661680 161570.682735 206125.114572 262876.774808
2026-01-04 51304.702918 70738.379682 94639.257072 125788.858824 164867.481255 211803.270229 271922.142965
2026-01-11 50158.258343 69922.275365 94431.571635 126611.094079 167255.340820 216366.450551 279620.552476
2026-01-18 48779.556012 68758.842433 93742.529199 126789.069773 168811.256188 219893.274541 286048.899416
2026-01-25 47614.675175 67837.648720 93329.480943 127288.500142 170750.359353 223885.467260 293060.624511
2026-02-01 46291.641801 66666.473739 92557.483911 127294.683103 172039.883065 227056.651130 299054.646500
2026-02-08 45564.170870 66265.516208 92764.846655 128548.366404 174910.560527 232209.169084 307544.595155
2026-02-15 44310.398901 65119.025903 91963.984339 128463.047416 176044.360132 235169.144968 313288.837550